Economic Review |
5/05/08 Are television market analysts really worth listening to? Over the past
week and for some time now, television analysts have gotten away with
outrageous comments on various aspects in the investment market arena. The
latest nonsense that was uttered over the airways just last week was the
assertion that the US Goldi Locks scenario was still somewhat intact. Here’s
a reality check. The latest downturn in the US economy has clearly deemed the
Goldi Locks scenario a complete farce as it was a function of a variety of
bubble related, unsustainable factors that helped consumers consume at an
unprecedented pace. The host of interest rate cuts has now put the US
interest rate scenario at about a 100 basis point into a negative real rate
scenario. A number of US companies needed bail out funds from foreign
countries. Global central banks have injected billions into the markets to
maintain liquidity and one major Investment bank needed to be bailed out by
the Federal Reserve. Goldi Locks….you’ve got to be kidding me.
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Stephan Kudyba (MBA, PhD) THE MARKET DOCTOR |
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